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Jeff Bernfeld's avatar

A post-mortem is absolutely necessary and due. After that we part ways.

"Most Americans" is a vague measurement but if it means more than 50% I suspect that it's not true. And if it is true, it was Harris's "celebrity centric" campaign that offered real relief with incentives for housing starts, help with purchasing houses, tax credits, subsidized child care and more while Trump's "economic package" consists of tax cuts for the rich and tariffs, which are a hidden tax on everybody at amounts never before seen if he is to be believed (admittedly no sure thing). I'm still waiting for a good explanation of why an economically motivated voter would vote for Trump.

One also has to grapple with this fact: 40% of North Carolina voters voted for Mark Robinson for governor. There has probably never been a more unqualified, unacceptable, outrageously extreme, personally flawed candidate for major office in the US and the man still got 40% of voters to vote for him. One can argue about what that means, but to me it means that we can count on 40% of the population to vote Republican no matter who the candidate is or what the issues supposedly are. I'm sure it's not materially different for Democrats; the point is not to blame unthinking Republican automatons, it is to observe that the number of voters who actually vote based on measurable criteria is vanishingly small, and that's before one considers that 1/3 of eligible voters didn't even vote. Were they protesting? Are they fat and satisfied? Nobody knows. But w/out knowing, it is truly impossible to say that "most" American voters were motivated by economic hardship and that most of that most concluded that the Republicans offered a better chance for relief.

It is apparently a truism that Democrats courted upscale suburban voters. If one takes their platforms seriously it is hard to see how the Republicans courted working class and middle class voters, and more importantly, how the Democrats did not. Reproductive rights is for some reason widely seen as a "suburban women's" issue but I am hard-pressed to understand why. As noted above, only one party crafted a package of economic initiatives aimed at the working and middle classes and it wasn't the Republicans.

The Democrats definitely need a serious post-mortem and self-examination. But imho, the explanations I've read so far, including the ones offered by you, Elizabeth, miss the mark.

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terrence bracy's avatar

This no-none sense analysis is first rate.

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